‘An Alarming State of Affairs’: War on Iran Squeezes India's Cooking-Gas Availability.

People queue up to buy cooking gas cylinders for domestic use in an Indian city
People queue up to buy fuel canisters for home cooking in an urban center.

The repercussions of a military engagement being fought nearly 3,000km away are now impacting India's kitchens.

As US-Israeli strikes on Iran hinder energy shipments through the key maritime chokepoint, stocks of cooking gas are dwindling across India, forcing restaurants to reduce offerings, shorten hours and in some cases shut down altogether.

Social media is filled with video clips showing crowds outside LPG distributors across Indian metros and localities as worries over fuel supplies grow. Businesses appear the most affected: the sharpest squeeze is in food service establishments.

"The state of affairs is alarming. Kitchen fuel simply is unavailable," says a spokesperson of the a major restaurant body.

Most food outlets run either on business-grade gas tanks or direct gas lines, and the scarcities are now being noticed across the country. "Numerous restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the south. People are switching to solid fuels and electric cookers to keep kitchens going."

Localized Effects

In a financial hub, accounts say up to a fifth of eateries are already operating at reduced capacity as cylinder availability tighten. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some restaurants say their cylinder inventory have dwindled with scarce alternatives. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and no food items - it is truly dismal. Operations will be impacted," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.

A closed restaurant shutter in an Indian city
A restaurant in a southern city which has ceased operations due to a scarcity of cooking gas.

Restaurant operators are rushing to adjust. "Menus are being curtailed, some are cutting lunch service and opening only for dinner," an industry representative says, adding that shutdowns are fluctuating as supplies come and go. "Three restaurants in Delhi were shut yesterday - a couple are back in business. It's a dynamic scenario."

Retailers report a surge in sales of electric cookers, with some saying they are running out of them.

Official Position

Yet, the government maintains there is adequate supply.

India has more than a vast number of home fuel subscribers and authorities say supplies are being prioritized to households as geopolitical strain from the regional hostilities ripple through energy markets.

Roughly 60% of India's LPG is brought in from overseas, and about nine out of ten of those shipments pass through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow Gulf chokepoint now significantly disrupted by the war.

The relevant department says that it ordered refineries to maximise LPG output for home needs, raising domestic production by about a significant margin. Commercial stock is being reserved for essential sectors such as hospitals and educational institutions, while distribution will be "just and open".

"Some panic booking and hoarding has been sparked by misinformation. The normal delivery cycle for domestic LPG remains about 60 hours," says a ministry representative.

Widening Concern

Now the anxiety is spreading beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a long, snaking queue of motorbikes outside a gas outlet. "Concern is genuine," the text reads.

An oil tanker at sea representing imports
India sources up to a vast majority of the petroleum it consumes, leaving it highly exposed to problems in international markets.

According to data from industry analysts, concerns about India's broader energy security may be exaggerated.

India imports almost all of its oil. Around a significant portion of its oil purchases - about millions of barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from Middle Eastern nations.

Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are hindered, the gap could be partly compensated for by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a sector expert.

Based on vessel tracking and industry information, increased Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, lessening India's effective shortfall from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about a substantial volume of barrels a day.

"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently floating on ships in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a available backup," an analyst noted.

Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness

The primary concern is kitchen fuel, commentators observe.

India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only a minority share domestically, importing the rest - 80–90% through the Strait.

Refineries can modify output to squeeze out a bit more LPG, but even a moderate increase would only increase domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country largely dependent on imports.

In short: "Oil import vulnerability can be somewhat alleviated through diversification. Processed petroleum stocks remains relatively comfortable. Kitchen fuel stocks is the real variable to monitor in the coming weeks."

What may be heightening the concern on the ground is not just tight supply but patchy deliveries - and the common threat of hoarding.

An industry representative states price gouging.

"Distributors are misusing the situation - selling fuel on the black market and selling them at a inflated price. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being hoarded and sold to the highest bidder."

For now, India's oil supplies may be cushioned by worldwide shipping. But in homes across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next refill.

David Alexander
David Alexander

Elara Vance is an investigative journalist with over a decade of experience covering international affairs and political developments across Europe.